coldHave just finished a round of Oscar pool statistics--you can see the full list on SAST, but here's how the first 32 players (not including me, because I haven't transferred my predictions to the form yet) have voted:
Best Picture: Return of the King (100%)
Best Director: Peter Jackson (93.7%)
Best Actor: Bill Murray (59.3%)
Best Actress: Charlize Theron (87.5%)
Best Supporting Actor: Tim Robbins (68.7%)
Best Supporting Actress: Renée Zellweger (65.6%)
I'm actually surprised by the low number of prediction votes Robbins has gotten--I'd say he's the surest of sure things. But then, surer things have lost before. And it does seem like the public favors Murray, although I will note that some people forget that they're predicting how a certain group of 1000 people will vote, not who they actually want to win. Which I'm guilty of myself sometimes--I biffed the pool so badly last year because I could just not bring myself to vote against Two Towers in several key categories, even though I knew it wouldn't win; you feel like you're jinxing your favorite if you do. Of course, then there was the Brody-Polanski one-two punch that hardly anyone saw coming. But I digress.
Oh, and I forgot--if you want a special Oscar pool icon, snaffle away:
